Forecasting the demand profile for a physician-led pre-hospital care service using a mathematical model

Moultrie, Chris; Corfield, Alasdair; Pell, J.; Mackay, Daniel

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Abstract

We aimed to investigate if a queueing-theory derived, stochastic, computerised mathematical model could accurately predict the number and seasonal pattern of primary pre-hospital missions undertaken by a physician-led pre-hospital and retrieval service in 2016. https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/7/Suppl_3/A18.2.info This is an Open Access article distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ DOI http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2017-EMSabstracts.46

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